Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on September 6 under light winds and a broad cloud band expected to deliver mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunny intervals. Recent observations on September 5 reached 31–32°C at urban stations amid clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and precipitation chances on the 6th are likely to limit daytime heating and cap the peak near the forecast upper bound. Sea surface temperatures near 26°C and weak steering flow provide limited additional warming potential. Market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C reflect trader weighting of these official ranges against minor model spreads in shower timing or intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の香港の最高気温は?
31℃ 41%
30℃ 26%
32℃ 21%
29°C 8%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30℃
26%
31℃
41%
32℃
21%
33℃
6%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 41%
30℃ 26%
32℃ 21%
29°C 8%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30℃
26%
31℃
41%
32℃
21%
33℃
6%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on September 6 under light winds and a broad cloud band expected to deliver mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunny intervals. Recent observations on September 5 reached 31–32°C at urban stations amid clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and precipitation chances on the 6th are likely to limit daytime heating and cap the peak near the forecast upper bound. Sea surface temperatures near 26°C and weak steering flow provide limited additional warming potential. Market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C reflect trader weighting of these official ranges against minor model spreads in shower timing or intensity that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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