Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow over Paris on September 6, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31 °C under moderate insolation and low dew points. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C, with limited cloud cover and weak winds reducing mixing. Model consensus favors 29 °C as the most probable maximum, though small timing or boundary-layer differences could shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 40 % / 32.5 % split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のパリの最高気温は？
9月6日のパリの最高気温は？
29℃ 45%
30℃ 30%
28°C 17%
31°C 9%
新規
$25,543 Vol.
新規
$25,543 Vol.
2026/09/06
26℃以下
2%
27℃
2%
28°C
17%
29℃
45%
30℃
30%
31°C
9%
32℃
3%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
29℃ 45%
30℃ 30%
28°C 17%
31°C 9%
新規
$25,543 Vol.
新規
$25,543 Vol.
2026/09/06
26℃以下
$490 Vol.
2%
27℃
$692 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,429 Vol.
17%
29℃
$1,645 Vol.
45%
30℃
$3,103 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,486 Vol.
9%
32℃
$831 Vol.
3%
33℃
$114 Vol.
<1%
34℃
$933 Vol.
<1%
35℃
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
36°C以上
$11,563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow over Paris on September 6, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31 °C under moderate insolation and low dew points. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C, with limited cloud cover and weak winds reducing mixing. Model consensus favors 29 °C as the most probable maximum, though small timing or boundary-layer differences could shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 40 % / 32.5 % split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$25,543終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow over Paris on September 6, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31 °C under moderate insolation and low dew points. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C, with limited cloud cover and weak winds reducing mixing. Model consensus favors 29 °C as the most probable maximum, though small timing or boundary-layer differences could shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 40 % / 32.5 % split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$25,543終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow over Paris on September 6, supporting afternoon highs near 29–31 °C under moderate insolation and low dew points. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C, with limited cloud cover and weak winds reducing mixing. Model consensus favors 29 °C as the most probable maximum, though small timing or boundary-layer differences could shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 40 % / 32.5 % split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Updated runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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