Recent ensemble forecasts highlight moderate uncertainty in Tokyo's peak temperature on September 6, with model consensus centering on 23–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. The Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a marine-influenced air mass suppressing daytime heating below early-September climatological norms near 29°C, while urban heat-island effects and subtle frontal timing add spread across runs. Traders price the narrow range because small shifts in insolation or wind could tip the observed high at the official station, with final verification expected within hours of sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の東京の最高気温は？
9月6日の東京の最高気温は？
24℃ 34%
25℃ 29%
23℃ 25%
26°C 8%
新規
$10,554 Vol.
新規
$10,554 Vol.
2026/09/06
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
2%
22℃
4%
23℃
25%
24℃
34%
25℃
29%
26°C
8%
27℃
5%
28℃
1%
29℃以上
<1%
24℃ 34%
25℃ 29%
23℃ 25%
26°C 8%
新規
$10,554 Vol.
新規
$10,554 Vol.
2026/09/06
19°C以下
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,076 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$168 Vol.
2%
22℃
$1,088 Vol.
4%
23℃
$1,669 Vol.
25%
24℃
$822 Vol.
34%
25℃
$1,665 Vol.
29%
26°C
$1,755 Vol.
8%
27℃
$419 Vol.
5%
28℃
$290 Vol.
1%
29℃以上
$358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts highlight moderate uncertainty in Tokyo's peak temperature on September 6, with model consensus centering on 23–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. The Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a marine-influenced air mass suppressing daytime heating below early-September climatological norms near 29°C, while urban heat-island effects and subtle frontal timing add spread across runs. Traders price the narrow range because small shifts in insolation or wind could tip the observed high at the official station, with final verification expected within hours of sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$10,554終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts highlight moderate uncertainty in Tokyo's peak temperature on September 6, with model consensus centering on 23–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. The Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a marine-influenced air mass suppressing daytime heating below early-September climatological norms near 29°C, while urban heat-island effects and subtle frontal timing add spread across runs. Traders price the narrow range because small shifts in insolation or wind could tip the observed high at the official station, with final verification expected within hours of sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,554終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts highlight moderate uncertainty in Tokyo's peak temperature on September 6, with model consensus centering on 23–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. The Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a marine-influenced air mass suppressing daytime heating below early-September climatological norms near 29°C, while urban heat-island effects and subtle frontal timing add spread across runs. Traders price the narrow range because small shifts in insolation or wind could tip the observed high at the official station, with final verification expected within hours of sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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