Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the enhanced southwest monsoon, bolstered by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of Luzon, are moderating daytime heating in Metro Manila ahead of August 31. PAGASA outlooks and multiple forecast models indicate occasional to moderate rains with southwest winds of 10-15 m/s, limiting solar insolation and keeping peak readings near the 30-31°C seasonal average. Minor variations in rainfall timing or brief afternoon breaks could allow brief warming to 32°C, while heavier or more persistent precipitation favors 30°C or lower. This near-even split between the leading 32°C and 31°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in convective timing and monsoon intensity over the next 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のマニラの最高気温は?
32℃ 46%
31℃ 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
2%
29℃
4%
30°C
11%
31℃
37%
32℃
46%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
32℃ 46%
31℃ 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
2%
29℃
4%
30°C
11%
31℃
37%
32℃
46%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the enhanced southwest monsoon, bolstered by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of Luzon, are moderating daytime heating in Metro Manila ahead of August 31. PAGASA outlooks and multiple forecast models indicate occasional to moderate rains with southwest winds of 10-15 m/s, limiting solar insolation and keeping peak readings near the 30-31°C seasonal average. Minor variations in rainfall timing or brief afternoon breaks could allow brief warming to 32°C, while heavier or more persistent precipitation favors 30°C or lower. This near-even split between the leading 32°C and 31°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in convective timing and monsoon intensity over the next 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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