Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のマニラの最低気温は?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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