Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s on September 5, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 54.8°F. Persistent marine influence, light onshore flow, and a stable airmass following recent showers have kept recent minima near 53°F, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. This baseline supports the market’s elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bucket while still leaving room for modest upward revisions if models trend warmer. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and typical early-September variability more heavily than the current consensus outlook.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seattle on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 5?
45°F or below 66%
64°F or higher 44%
54-55°F 40%
46-47°F 35%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
45°F or below
66%
46-47°F
35%
48-49°F
35%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
16%
64°F or higher
44%
45°F or below 66%
64°F or higher 44%
54-55°F 40%
46-47°F 35%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Vol.
66%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
35%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
35%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
26%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
32%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
40%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
34%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
18%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
16%
64°F or higher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s on September 5, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 54.8°F. Persistent marine influence, light onshore flow, and a stable airmass following recent showers have kept recent minima near 53°F, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. This baseline supports the market’s elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bucket while still leaving room for modest upward revisions if models trend warmer. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and typical early-September variability more heavily than the current consensus outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s on September 5, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 54.8°F. Persistent marine influence, light onshore flow, and a stable airmass following recent showers have kept recent minima near 53°F, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. This baseline supports the market’s elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bucket while still leaving room for modest upward revisions if models trend warmer. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and typical early-September variability more heavily than the current consensus outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows in the low to mid-50s on September 5, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 54.8°F. Persistent marine influence, light onshore flow, and a stable airmass following recent showers have kept recent minima near 53°F, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. This baseline supports the market’s elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bucket while still leaving room for modest upward revisions if models trend warmer. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and typical early-September variability more heavily than the current consensus outlook.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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