Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models for New York City on September 3 indicate persistent humid, overcast conditions with southwest winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting an overnight low near 68–69°F at official stations such as Central Park. This aligns with observed morning temperatures around 70°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection, consistent with late-summer climatology modified by current atmospheric moisture. Trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability reflects high model agreement on these thresholds, though unexpected clearing or heavier rainfall could allow additional cooling toward 66–67°F before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations through midnight will refine the final minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
68-69°F 94%
66-67°F 4%
64-65°F 2%
63°F or below <1%
$43,201 Vol.
$43,201 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
94%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 94%
66-67°F 4%
64-65°F 2%
63°F or below <1%
$43,201 Vol.
$43,201 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
$1,092 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,066 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$618 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$1,897 Vol.
94%
70-71°F
$36,456 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$727 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$686 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$212 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models for New York City on September 3 indicate persistent humid, overcast conditions with southwest winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting an overnight low near 68–69°F at official stations such as Central Park. This aligns with observed morning temperatures around 70°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection, consistent with late-summer climatology modified by current atmospheric moisture. Trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability reflects high model agreement on these thresholds, though unexpected clearing or heavier rainfall could allow additional cooling toward 66–67°F before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations through midnight will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$43,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models for New York City on September 3 indicate persistent humid, overcast conditions with southwest winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting an overnight low near 68–69°F at official stations such as Central Park. This aligns with observed morning temperatures around 70°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection, consistent with late-summer climatology modified by current atmospheric moisture. Trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability reflects high model agreement on these thresholds, though unexpected clearing or heavier rainfall could allow additional cooling toward 66–67°F before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations through midnight will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models for New York City on September 3 indicate persistent humid, overcast conditions with southwest winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting an overnight low near 68–69°F at official stations such as Central Park. This aligns with observed morning temperatures around 70°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection, consistent with late-summer climatology modified by current atmospheric moisture. Trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability reflects high model agreement on these thresholds, though unexpected clearing or heavier rainfall could allow additional cooling toward 66–67°F before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations through midnight will refine the final minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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