**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 28°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daily maximum around this level amid partly cloudy skies and light winds.** Regional high-pressure systems, often termed “Qinggao” influence in western China, have maintained stable subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September baselines for Chengdu typically range 27–32°C for daily highs, and current model consensus aligns with the lower end of that spectrum due to modest moisture and minimal solar insolation enhancement. Official surface observations through the afternoon hours have not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unexpected late-day spike from localized heating, though forecast updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
28°C 99.7%
29°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$66,945 Vol.
$66,945 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.7%
29°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$66,945 Vol.
$66,945 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
$2,084 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,751 Vol.
100%
29°C
$6,794 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,121 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,411 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,949 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,691 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,662 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,011 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,997 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$474 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 28°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daily maximum around this level amid partly cloudy skies and light winds.**
Regional high-pressure systems, often termed “Qinggao” influence in western China, have maintained stable subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September baselines for Chengdu typically range 27–32°C for daily highs, and current model consensus aligns with the lower end of that spectrum due to modest moisture and minimal solar insolation enhancement. Official surface observations through the afternoon hours have not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unexpected late-day spike from localized heating, though forecast updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$66,945Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 28°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daily maximum around this level amid partly cloudy skies and light winds.**
Regional high-pressure systems, often termed “Qinggao” influence in western China, have maintained stable subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September baselines for Chengdu typically range 27–32°C for daily highs, and current model consensus aligns with the lower end of that spectrum due to modest moisture and minimal solar insolation enhancement. Official surface observations through the afternoon hours have not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unexpected late-day spike from localized heating, though forecast updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,945Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 28°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daily maximum around this level amid partly cloudy skies and light winds.** Regional high-pressure systems, often termed “Qinggao” influence in western China, have maintained stable subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Historical September baselines for Chengdu typically range 27–32°C for daily highs, and current model consensus aligns with the lower end of that spectrum due to modest moisture and minimal solar insolation enhancement. Official surface observations through the afternoon hours have not exceeded this threshold, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unexpected late-day spike from localized heating, though forecast updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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