**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on September 3, 2026, driving the 72% market-implied probability.** Westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies limits surface heating and strong solar insolation, with afternoon temperatures reaching approximately 26–27°C according to GFS-based guidance and local analyses. This aligns closely with the climatological average high of 23.3°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Minor model spread allows a secondary 25.5% chance for 28°C if afternoon clearing enhances warming, but probabilities for 29°C or higher remain negligible given stable high pressure and weak winds. Official observations from Météo-France will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 3?
27°C 80%
28°C 18%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
$67,957 Vol.
$67,957 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
73%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 80%
28°C 18%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
$67,957 Vol.
$67,957 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$14,893 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,786 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,833 Vol.
73%
28°C
$6,373 Vol.
27%
29°C
$6,803 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,187 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,365 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,090 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$6,845 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on September 3, 2026, driving the 72% market-implied probability.**
Westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies limits surface heating and strong solar insolation, with afternoon temperatures reaching approximately 26–27°C according to GFS-based guidance and local analyses. This aligns closely with the climatological average high of 23.3°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Minor model spread allows a secondary 25.5% chance for 28°C if afternoon clearing enhances warming, but probabilities for 29°C or higher remain negligible given stable high pressure and weak winds. Official observations from Météo-France will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$67,957Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on September 3, 2026, driving the 72% market-implied probability.**
Westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies limits surface heating and strong solar insolation, with afternoon temperatures reaching approximately 26–27°C according to GFS-based guidance and local analyses. This aligns closely with the climatological average high of 23.3°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Minor model spread allows a secondary 25.5% chance for 28°C if afternoon clearing enhances warming, but probabilities for 29°C or higher remain negligible given stable high pressure and weak winds. Official observations from Météo-France will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,957Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on September 3, 2026, driving the 72% market-implied probability.** Westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies limits surface heating and strong solar insolation, with afternoon temperatures reaching approximately 26–27°C according to GFS-based guidance and local analyses. This aligns closely with the climatological average high of 23.3°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Minor model spread allows a secondary 25.5% chance for 28°C if afternoon clearing enhances warming, but probabilities for 29°C or higher remain negligible given stable high pressure and weak winds. Official observations from Météo-France will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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