**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high for Manila on September 3, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions under the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s 4:00 PM bulletin recorded a daily maximum of 31.5°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City through 10:00 AM, with the agency’s outlook for Metro Manila projecting a 27–31°C range amid 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical September climatology (average highs near 30°C). Multiple models and international forecasts align on highs of 29–31°C or 30–32°C, supporting the market’s near-certain 32°C outcome. A realistic shift to 33°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, which current monsoon dynamics and ongoing precipitation make improbable. Conversely, if the official PAGASA maximum ends slightly below 32°C due to station differences or measurement timing, the outcome could adjust, though the prevailing conditions point to a value clustered around 31–32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 3?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$35,581 Vol.
$35,581 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$35,581 Vol.
$35,581 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,196 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,963 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,310 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,038 Vol.
100%
33°C
$4,443 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,467 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high for Manila on September 3, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions under the southwest monsoon.**
PAGASA’s 4:00 PM bulletin recorded a daily maximum of 31.5°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City through 10:00 AM, with the agency’s outlook for Metro Manila projecting a 27–31°C range amid 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical September climatology (average highs near 30°C). Multiple models and international forecasts align on highs of 29–31°C or 30–32°C, supporting the market’s near-certain 32°C outcome.
A realistic shift to 33°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, which current monsoon dynamics and ongoing precipitation make improbable. Conversely, if the official PAGASA maximum ends slightly below 32°C due to station differences or measurement timing, the outcome could adjust, though the prevailing conditions point to a value clustered around 31–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$35,581Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high for Manila on September 3, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions under the southwest monsoon.**
PAGASA’s 4:00 PM bulletin recorded a daily maximum of 31.5°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City through 10:00 AM, with the agency’s outlook for Metro Manila projecting a 27–31°C range amid 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical September climatology (average highs near 30°C). Multiple models and international forecasts align on highs of 29–31°C or 30–32°C, supporting the market’s near-certain 32°C outcome.
A realistic shift to 33°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, which current monsoon dynamics and ongoing precipitation make improbable. Conversely, if the official PAGASA maximum ends slightly below 32°C due to station differences or measurement timing, the outcome could adjust, though the prevailing conditions point to a value clustered around 31–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,581Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high for Manila on September 3, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and observed conditions under the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s 4:00 PM bulletin recorded a daily maximum of 31.5°C at the Science Garden station in Quezon City through 10:00 AM, with the agency’s outlook for Metro Manila projecting a 27–31°C range amid 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover, scattered heavy showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical September climatology (average highs near 30°C). Multiple models and international forecasts align on highs of 29–31°C or 30–32°C, supporting the market’s near-certain 32°C outcome. A realistic shift to 33°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, which current monsoon dynamics and ongoing precipitation make improbable. Conversely, if the official PAGASA maximum ends slightly below 32°C due to station differences or measurement timing, the outcome could adjust, though the prevailing conditions point to a value clustered around 31–32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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