Traders have aligned on 30°C as the near-certain maximum temperature for Shenzhen on September 3, driven by consistent real-time observations and short-range forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources. In this subtropical region, early September climatology features typical highs near 30–32°C under prevailing high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity, with current atmospheric conditions showing no evidence of stronger cooling or warming influences such as frontal passages. Model runs reinforce this precise threshold without notable spread, and historical station data align closely. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local wind patterns or measurement anomalies at official sites could realistically challenge the outcome before final readings are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,890 Vol.
$43,890 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,890 Vol.
$43,890 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$878 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,736 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,041 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,441 Vol.
100%
31°C
$6,346 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,394 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 30°C as the near-certain maximum temperature for Shenzhen on September 3, driven by consistent real-time observations and short-range forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources. In this subtropical region, early September climatology features typical highs near 30–32°C under prevailing high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity, with current atmospheric conditions showing no evidence of stronger cooling or warming influences such as frontal passages. Model runs reinforce this precise threshold without notable spread, and historical station data align closely. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local wind patterns or measurement anomalies at official sites could realistically challenge the outcome before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$43,890Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 30°C as the near-certain maximum temperature for Shenzhen on September 3, driven by consistent real-time observations and short-range forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources. In this subtropical region, early September climatology features typical highs near 30–32°C under prevailing high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity, with current atmospheric conditions showing no evidence of stronger cooling or warming influences such as frontal passages. Model runs reinforce this precise threshold without notable spread, and historical station data align closely. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local wind patterns or measurement anomalies at official sites could realistically challenge the outcome before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,890Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have aligned on 30°C as the near-certain maximum temperature for Shenzhen on September 3, driven by consistent real-time observations and short-range forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources. In this subtropical region, early September climatology features typical highs near 30–32°C under prevailing high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity, with current atmospheric conditions showing no evidence of stronger cooling or warming influences such as frontal passages. Model runs reinforce this precise threshold without notable spread, and historical station data align closely. Only an unexpected rapid shift in local wind patterns or measurement anomalies at official sites could realistically challenge the outcome before final readings are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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