Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 5, with highs most likely in the low to mid-80s as northeasterly flow replaces the recent heat wave that produced 95–96°F readings early in the month. This shift, combined with potential lake-breeze effects near official stations, supports the market’s emphasis on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength and timing of onshore winds, which can suppress maxima by several degrees near the lake, variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 5 averages near 80°F provide context, while the short lead time leaves room for revisions from updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
73°F or below
$18 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$100 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$28 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
4%
92°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 5, with highs most likely in the low to mid-80s as northeasterly flow replaces the recent heat wave that produced 95–96°F readings early in the month. This shift, combined with potential lake-breeze effects near official stations, supports the market’s emphasis on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength and timing of onshore winds, which can suppress maxima by several degrees near the lake, variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 5 averages near 80°F provide context, while the short lead time leaves room for revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$146Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 5, with highs most likely in the low to mid-80s as northeasterly flow replaces the recent heat wave that produced 95–96°F readings early in the month. This shift, combined with potential lake-breeze effects near official stations, supports the market’s emphasis on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength and timing of onshore winds, which can suppress maxima by several degrees near the lake, variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 5 averages near 80°F provide context, while the short lead time leaves room for revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$146Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 5, with highs most likely in the low to mid-80s as northeasterly flow replaces the recent heat wave that produced 95–96°F readings early in the month. This shift, combined with potential lake-breeze effects near official stations, supports the market’s emphasis on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength and timing of onshore winds, which can suppress maxima by several degrees near the lake, variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September 5 averages near 80°F provide context, while the short lead time leaves room for revisions from updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan