Official forecasts from Environment Canada call for a high of 27°C in Toronto today under mainly cloudy skies with fog patches dissipating and west winds strengthening to 20 km/h, aligning closely with the 10% market-implied probability for that outcome. Trader emphasis on 28–29°C (combined 82.5%) reflects model variability in afternoon peak timing, urban heat island effects, and humidex values near 34 amid partly cloudy periods that could allow brief warming above official guidance. Current morning readings near 23°C and historical September 3 averages around 24°C underscore the narrow range, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
29°C 56%
28°C 26%
27°C 8%
30°C 6.0%
$44,988 Vol.
$44,988 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
56%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 56%
28°C 26%
27°C 8%
30°C 6.0%
$44,988 Vol.
$44,988 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
56%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada call for a high of 27°C in Toronto today under mainly cloudy skies with fog patches dissipating and west winds strengthening to 20 km/h, aligning closely with the 10% market-implied probability for that outcome. Trader emphasis on 28–29°C (combined 82.5%) reflects model variability in afternoon peak timing, urban heat island effects, and humidex values near 34 amid partly cloudy periods that could allow brief warming above official guidance. Current morning readings near 23°C and historical September 3 averages around 24°C underscore the narrow range, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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