El Niño conditions persisting through 2026 have elevated baseline temperatures across Panama by suppressing rainfall and enhancing solar heating, pushing daily maxima toward the upper end of the typical 28–31°C September range for Panamá City. Current ensemble forecasts indicate afternoon highs near 30°C on September 5, with scattered convection and variable cloud cover creating tight uncertainty around the exact peak. Stronger trade winds or earlier thunderstorm initiation could cap readings at 30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows brief clearing and 31–32°C spikes. These dynamics explain the near-even market split among the top three outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of tropical moisture convergence remain the key variables ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
32°C 50%
31°C 49%
30°C 48%
29°C 17%
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
17%
30°C
48%
31°C
49%
32°C
50%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 50%
31°C 49%
30°C 48%
29°C 17%
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
17%
30°C
48%
31°C
49%
32°C
50%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...El Niño conditions persisting through 2026 have elevated baseline temperatures across Panama by suppressing rainfall and enhancing solar heating, pushing daily maxima toward the upper end of the typical 28–31°C September range for Panamá City. Current ensemble forecasts indicate afternoon highs near 30°C on September 5, with scattered convection and variable cloud cover creating tight uncertainty around the exact peak. Stronger trade winds or earlier thunderstorm initiation could cap readings at 30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows brief clearing and 31–32°C spikes. These dynamics explain the near-even market split among the top three outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of tropical moisture convergence remain the key variables ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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