Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
13°C 42%
9°C 7%
11°C 6%
10°C 5%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 42%
9°C 7%
11°C 6%
10°C 5%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
9°C
$5 Vol.
7%
10°C
$5 Vol.
5%
11°C
$4 Vol.
6%
12°C
$21 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$21 Vol.
59%
15°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$590 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,052Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,052Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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