Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's August 25 high will likely peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly Etesian winds, which enhance mixing and limit extreme surface heating. These conditions, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity in the 50-60% range during peak afternoon hours, support trader consensus favoring 27–28°C outcomes over warmer or cooler thresholds. Minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind speed introduce uncertainty in the exact daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official observations. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these atmospheric variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
28°C 45%
27°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
35%
28°C
45%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 45%
27°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
35%
28°C
45%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's August 25 high will likely peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly Etesian winds, which enhance mixing and limit extreme surface heating. These conditions, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity in the 50-60% range during peak afternoon hours, support trader consensus favoring 27–28°C outcomes over warmer or cooler thresholds. Minor model spreads in cloud cover and wind speed introduce uncertainty in the exact daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official observations. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these atmospheric variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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