Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position 33°C as the dominant outcome for Beijing’s highest temperature on August 23 because late-summer subtropical high pressure and residual warm advection are supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 31°C climatological average, while scattered thunderstorms and 70–85% humidity moderate further heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from multiple runs shows peak readings at the official station likely reaching 32–33°C if breaks in cloud allow brief solar insolation spikes, consistent with the 87% market-implied probability; the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects the narrow window for stronger advection before evening cooling sets in. Traders are monitoring the next NHC-style regional updates and hourly station data for any late intensification signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 93%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$50,115 Vol.
$50,115 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
93%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 93%
34°C 6%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$50,115 Vol.
$50,115 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$2,010 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,642 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,017 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,562 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,589 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$14,918 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,358 Vol.
93%
34°C
$3,633 Vol.
6%
35°C
$3,630 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,058 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position 33°C as the dominant outcome for Beijing’s highest temperature on August 23 because late-summer subtropical high pressure and residual warm advection are supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 31°C climatological average, while scattered thunderstorms and 70–85% humidity moderate further heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from multiple runs shows peak readings at the official station likely reaching 32–33°C if breaks in cloud allow brief solar insolation spikes, consistent with the 87% market-implied probability; the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects the narrow window for stronger advection before evening cooling sets in. Traders are monitoring the next NHC-style regional updates and hourly station data for any late intensification signals.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$50,115Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position 33°C as the dominant outcome for Beijing’s highest temperature on August 23 because late-summer subtropical high pressure and residual warm advection are supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 31°C climatological average, while scattered thunderstorms and 70–85% humidity moderate further heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from multiple runs shows peak readings at the official station likely reaching 32–33°C if breaks in cloud allow brief solar insolation spikes, consistent with the 87% market-implied probability; the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects the narrow window for stronger advection before evening cooling sets in. Traders are monitoring the next NHC-style regional updates and hourly station data for any late intensification signals.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,115Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position 33°C as the dominant outcome for Beijing’s highest temperature on August 23 because late-summer subtropical high pressure and residual warm advection are supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 31°C climatological average, while scattered thunderstorms and 70–85% humidity moderate further heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from multiple runs shows peak readings at the official station likely reaching 32–33°C if breaks in cloud allow brief solar insolation spikes, consistent with the 87% market-implied probability; the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects the narrow window for stronger advection before evening cooling sets in. Traders are monitoring the next NHC-style regional updates and hourly station data for any late intensification signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan