Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing indicates overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with current conditions on August 23 featuring highs near 32–34°C and elevated dew points, which sustain minimum temperatures well above the long-term August average of ~20.7°C. Traders assign the tightest odds to 25°C and 24°C because subtle differences in forecast cloud timing and precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling under clearer breaks versus sustained overcast conditions that trap heat. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
29°C or higher 48%
25°C 39%
24°C 35%
26°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
35%
25°C
39%
26°C
27%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
29°C or higher 48%
25°C 39%
24°C 35%
26°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$80 Vol.
7%
21°C
$5 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$310 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$311 Vol.
13%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing indicates overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with current conditions on August 23 featuring highs near 32–34°C and elevated dew points, which sustain minimum temperatures well above the long-term August average of ~20.7°C. Traders assign the tightest odds to 25°C and 24°C because subtle differences in forecast cloud timing and precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling under clearer breaks versus sustained overcast conditions that trap heat. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing indicates overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with current conditions on August 23 featuring highs near 32–34°C and elevated dew points, which sustain minimum temperatures well above the long-term August average of ~20.7°C. Traders assign the tightest odds to 25°C and 24°C because subtle differences in forecast cloud timing and precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling under clearer breaks versus sustained overcast conditions that trap heat. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing indicates overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with current conditions on August 23 featuring highs near 32–34°C and elevated dew points, which sustain minimum temperatures well above the long-term August average of ~20.7°C. Traders assign the tightest odds to 25°C and 24°C because subtle differences in forecast cloud timing and precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling under clearer breaks versus sustained overcast conditions that trap heat. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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