Recent official observations and forecast consensus from New Zealand meteorological agencies confirm a daily maximum of 17°C in Wellington on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, aligning with late-winter climatology where typical highs range 12–15°C. This data-driven agreement underpins the market’s near-certain 17°C outcome. Only an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or rapid cloud build-up could realistically lower the recorded maximum below this threshold before official verification closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$65,920 Vol.
$65,920 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$65,920 Vol.
$65,920 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations and forecast consensus from New Zealand meteorological agencies confirm a daily maximum of 17°C in Wellington on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure. Multiple model runs, including GFS and ECMWF, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, aligning with late-winter climatology where typical highs range 12–15°C. This data-driven agreement underpins the market’s near-certain 17°C outcome. Only an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or rapid cloud build-up could realistically lower the recorded maximum below this threshold before official verification closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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