The southwest monsoon dominating atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila has driven the 100% market-implied probability for a 32°C daily high on August 23, 2026. PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a peak of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that suppressed insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August baselines near 31°C and recent model consensus limiting convective heating. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow brief excursions above 32°C, while heavier monsoon rains or stronger winds might cap the maximum below it.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,441 Vol.
$25,441 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$25,441 Vol.
$25,441 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,697 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,435 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,139 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,595 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,705 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon dominating atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila has driven the 100% market-implied probability for a 32°C daily high on August 23, 2026. PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a peak of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that suppressed insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August baselines near 31°C and recent model consensus limiting convective heating. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow brief excursions above 32°C, while heavier monsoon rains or stronger winds might cap the maximum below it.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$25,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon dominating atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila has driven the 100% market-implied probability for a 32°C daily high on August 23, 2026. PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a peak of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that suppressed insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August baselines near 31°C and recent model consensus limiting convective heating. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow brief excursions above 32°C, while heavier monsoon rains or stronger winds might cap the maximum below it.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon dominating atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila has driven the 100% market-implied probability for a 32°C daily high on August 23, 2026. PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a peak of 31.5°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds that suppressed insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August baselines near 31°C and recent model consensus limiting convective heating. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow brief excursions above 32°C, while heavier monsoon rains or stronger winds might cap the maximum below it.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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