**Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms from the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.** PAGASA forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily low near 27°C under cloudy skies with 40–90% rain chances, while observational data show daytime readings near 28–29°C and minimal diurnal drops amid high humidity (often 75–85%) and light-to-moderate southwest winds. These conditions suppress the typical nighttime temperature fall in the tropical wet season, where clear skies would otherwise allow greater cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 25–26°C, but the current monsoon pattern favors warmer minima, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (72.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Upcoming PAGASA updates and evening observations will provide the final resolution data for the lowest recorded temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
28°C 91%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
$1,131 Vol.
$1,131 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 91%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
$1,131 Vol.
$1,131 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
1%
23°C
$74 Vol.
10%
24°C
$87 Vol.
17%
25°C
$12 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$97 Vol.
73%
29°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms from the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.**
PAGASA forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily low near 27°C under cloudy skies with 40–90% rain chances, while observational data show daytime readings near 28–29°C and minimal diurnal drops amid high humidity (often 75–85%) and light-to-moderate southwest winds. These conditions suppress the typical nighttime temperature fall in the tropical wet season, where clear skies would otherwise allow greater cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 25–26°C, but the current monsoon pattern favors warmer minima, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (72.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes.
Upcoming PAGASA updates and evening observations will provide the final resolution data for the lowest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,131Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms from the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.**
PAGASA forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily low near 27°C under cloudy skies with 40–90% rain chances, while observational data show daytime readings near 28–29°C and minimal diurnal drops amid high humidity (often 75–85%) and light-to-moderate southwest winds. These conditions suppress the typical nighttime temperature fall in the tropical wet season, where clear skies would otherwise allow greater cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 25–26°C, but the current monsoon pattern favors warmer minima, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (72.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes.
Upcoming PAGASA updates and evening observations will provide the final resolution data for the lowest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,131Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms from the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, supporting trader consensus around a 28°C minimum.** PAGASA forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily low near 27°C under cloudy skies with 40–90% rain chances, while observational data show daytime readings near 28–29°C and minimal diurnal drops amid high humidity (often 75–85%) and light-to-moderate southwest winds. These conditions suppress the typical nighttime temperature fall in the tropical wet season, where clear skies would otherwise allow greater cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 25–26°C, but the current monsoon pattern favors warmer minima, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (72.5% implied probability) over lower outcomes. Upcoming PAGASA updates and evening observations will provide the final resolution data for the lowest recorded temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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