Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures near 34–35°C in Chengdu on August 25, driven by lingering moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limit peak solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Recent official outlooks highlight a transition toward clearer intervals midday before convection develops, aligning with typical late-summer patterns where basin topography and urban effects can add 1–2°C locally. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact thunderstorm timing and any brief subsidence allowing stronger heating, with fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C 17%
39°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
21%
36°C
27%
37°C
17%
38°C
12%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
6%
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C 17%
39°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
5%
33°C
$22 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$4 Vol.
21%
36°C
$0 Vol.
27%
37°C
$0 Vol.
17%
38°C
$22 Vol.
12%
39°C
$20 Vol.
16%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures near 34–35°C in Chengdu on August 25, driven by lingering moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limit peak solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Recent official outlooks highlight a transition toward clearer intervals midday before convection develops, aligning with typical late-summer patterns where basin topography and urban effects can add 1–2°C locally. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact thunderstorm timing and any brief subsidence allowing stronger heating, with fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$83Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures near 34–35°C in Chengdu on August 25, driven by lingering moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limit peak solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Recent official outlooks highlight a transition toward clearer intervals midday before convection develops, aligning with typical late-summer patterns where basin topography and urban effects can add 1–2°C locally. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact thunderstorm timing and any brief subsidence allowing stronger heating, with fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures near 34–35°C in Chengdu on August 25, driven by lingering moisture, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limit peak solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Recent official outlooks highlight a transition toward clearer intervals midday before convection develops, aligning with typical late-summer patterns where basin topography and urban effects can add 1–2°C locally. Trader emphasis on 35–37°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact thunderstorm timing and any brief subsidence allowing stronger heating, with fresh CMA and ECMWF runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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