Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show strong convergence on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Shanghai on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River Delta, light easterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit further warming. Official guidance lists afternoon readings near 31 °C with dew points supporting heat-index values above 35 °C but little chance of exceeding or falling short of that threshold. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and historical late-August climatology for the region. A rapid shift in steering currents or an unforecast convective outbreak could alter the exact peak, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and proximity to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$55,872 Vol.
$55,872 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$55,872 Vol.
$55,872 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,413 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,201 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,707 Vol.
100%
32°C
$10,839 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,865 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,447 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,479 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show strong convergence on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Shanghai on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River Delta, light easterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit further warming. Official guidance lists afternoon readings near 31 °C with dew points supporting heat-index values above 35 °C but little chance of exceeding or falling short of that threshold. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and historical late-August climatology for the region. A rapid shift in steering currents or an unforecast convective outbreak could alter the exact peak, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,872Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show strong convergence on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Shanghai on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River Delta, light easterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit further warming. Official guidance lists afternoon readings near 31 °C with dew points supporting heat-index values above 35 °C but little chance of exceeding or falling short of that threshold. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and historical late-August climatology for the region. A rapid shift in steering currents or an unforecast convective outbreak could alter the exact peak, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,872Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show strong convergence on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Shanghai on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River Delta, light easterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit further warming. Official guidance lists afternoon readings near 31 °C with dew points supporting heat-index values above 35 °C but little chance of exceeding or falling short of that threshold. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and historical late-August climatology for the region. A rapid shift in steering currents or an unforecast convective outbreak could alter the exact peak, though such deviations remain low-probability given the current synoptic setup and proximity to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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