Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,206 Vol.
$12,206 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,206 Vol.
$12,206 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan