Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 23?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 23?
23°C 52%
22°C 37%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
$48,415 Vol.
$48,415 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
37%
23°C
52%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 37%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
$48,415 Vol.
$48,415 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$6,861 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,150 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,538 Vol.
1%
21°C
$6,872 Vol.
5%
22°C
$7,885 Vol.
37%
23°C
$5,091 Vol.
52%
24°C
$4,265 Vol.
6%
25°C
$4,445 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$48,415Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,415Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 23°C in Munich on August 23 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market's 51% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology in the region centers on daily highs of 19–25°C, with 21–23°C most common; recent model runs show limited spread around this range due to stable high pressure. The 38% chance assigned to 22°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or minor cooling, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above stem from the absence of strong warming signals. Updated ensemble guidance expected later today will refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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