Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
22°C 13%
25°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
22°C 13%
25°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
1%
20°C
$27 Vol.
1%
21°C
$202 Vol.
4%
22°C
$1,009 Vol.
13%
23°C
$4,321 Vol.
26%
24°C
$482 Vol.
38%
25°C
$997 Vol.
10%
26°C
$149 Vol.
2%
27°C
$38 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,607Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,607Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 23°C for Munich on August 24 under mostly sunny conditions, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. This positioning reflects the typical late-August cooling trend in southern Germany, where average highs decline from July peaks near 23–25°C, combined with post-heatwave stabilization after earlier August readings reached 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes modest daytime warming without significant frontal systems or Alpine influences that could push temperatures higher or trigger convective cooling. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors the narrow band near seasonal norms, with limited scope for outliers absent major forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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