**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C peak for Chengdu on August 23, 2026, with 31°C holding the strongest implied probability at 44%.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models project a daytime high of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and showers, which reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Hourly observations through mid-afternoon show readings climbing to 31–32°C before convective activity develops, consistent with late-August climatology featuring high humidity and monsoon-driven instability that typically caps extremes. Recent short-term updates note ongoing convection in surrounding districts, reinforcing the likelihood that cloud cover and precipitation will prevent higher readings while making 30°C or below unlikely. Upcoming evening observations and final daily summaries will determine exact resolution within the narrow 31–33°C window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 6%
$52,724 Vol.
$52,724 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 6%
$52,724 Vol.
$52,724 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C peak for Chengdu on August 23, 2026, with 31°C holding the strongest implied probability at 44%.** Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models project a daytime high of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and showers, which reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Hourly observations through mid-afternoon show readings climbing to 31–32°C before convective activity develops, consistent with late-August climatology featuring high humidity and monsoon-driven instability that typically caps extremes. Recent short-term updates note ongoing convection in surrounding districts, reinforcing the likelihood that cloud cover and precipitation will prevent higher readings while making 30°C or below unlikely. Upcoming evening observations and final daily summaries will determine exact resolution within the narrow 31–33°C window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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