Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and northerly winds. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where highs typically range 19–22°C, supporting the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Official resolution relies on verified station observations, so the dominant consensus reflects real-time model consensus and observed conditions rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 20°C would require an unforecasted warm anomaly pushing the high to 21°C or a sharper cool-down dropping it below that threshold, both low-probability given stable atmospheric patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
20°C 95%
21°C 5%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,920 Vol.
$44,920 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
95%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 95%
21°C 5%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,920 Vol.
$44,920 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,957 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$17,719 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$8,547 Vol.
95%
21°C
$7,685 Vol.
5%
22°C
$3,779 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$510 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and northerly winds. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where highs typically range 19–22°C, supporting the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Official resolution relies on verified station observations, so the dominant consensus reflects real-time model consensus and observed conditions rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 20°C would require an unforecasted warm anomaly pushing the high to 21°C or a sharper cool-down dropping it below that threshold, both low-probability given stable atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,920Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and northerly winds. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where highs typically range 19–22°C, supporting the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Official resolution relies on verified station observations, so the dominant consensus reflects real-time model consensus and observed conditions rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 20°C would require an unforecasted warm anomaly pushing the high to 21°C or a sharper cool-down dropping it below that threshold, both low-probability given stable atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,920Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and northerly winds. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where highs typically range 19–22°C, supporting the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Official resolution relies on verified station observations, so the dominant consensus reflects real-time model consensus and observed conditions rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 20°C would require an unforecasted warm anomaly pushing the high to 21°C or a sharper cool-down dropping it below that threshold, both low-probability given stable atmospheric patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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