Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 24 under scattered clouds and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the closely matched 44.5% and 39.5% market probabilities. Model consensus reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions, with North Sea moderation and limited diurnal heating due to partial cloud cover limiting peaks above the seasonal average of 22°C. Minor differences between outcomes hinge on subtle variations in advection and insolation across ensemble runs, where clearer skies could push toward 22°C while increased moisture keeps readings nearer 21°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, consistent with historical patterns of low day-to-day variability in the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 47%
22°C 38%
20°C 11%
23°C 8%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
38%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 47%
22°C 38%
20°C 11%
23°C 8%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
47%
22°C
38%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 24 under scattered clouds and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the closely matched 44.5% and 39.5% market probabilities. Model consensus reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions, with North Sea moderation and limited diurnal heating due to partial cloud cover limiting peaks above the seasonal average of 22°C. Minor differences between outcomes hinge on subtle variations in advection and insolation across ensemble runs, where clearer skies could push toward 22°C while increased moisture keeps readings nearer 21°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, consistent with historical patterns of low day-to-day variability in the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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