Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
-
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$222 Vol.
1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
6%
23°C
$26 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$5 Vol.
27%
30°C
$23 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$162 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$583Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$583Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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