Current forecast models from sources including MetService, WeatherBug, and Met Office point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 25 near 11–12°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air across Cook Strait while partial cloud cover limits radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions feature typical minimums of 9–11°C, but recent northerly flows have kept recent nights milder than seasonal norms. Model spread arises from uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and any light showers, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression. This genuine variability explains the clustered market probabilities around 11–13°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the precise minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
8°C or below 44%
18°C or higher 44%
12°C 32%
11°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
44%
9°C
11%
10°C
23%
11°C
29%
12°C
32%
13°C
28%
14°C
25%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
44%
8°C or below 44%
18°C or higher 44%
12°C 32%
11°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
44%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$1 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService, WeatherBug, and Met Office point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 25 near 11–12°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air across Cook Strait while partial cloud cover limits radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions feature typical minimums of 9–11°C, but recent northerly flows have kept recent nights milder than seasonal norms. Model spread arises from uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and any light showers, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression. This genuine variability explains the clustered market probabilities around 11–13°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$26Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService, WeatherBug, and Met Office point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 25 near 11–12°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air across Cook Strait while partial cloud cover limits radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions feature typical minimums of 9–11°C, but recent northerly flows have kept recent nights milder than seasonal norms. Model spread arises from uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and any light showers, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression. This genuine variability explains the clustered market probabilities around 11–13°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including MetService, WeatherBug, and Met Office point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 25 near 11–12°C, driven by moderate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air across Cook Strait while partial cloud cover limits radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions feature typical minimums of 9–11°C, but recent northerly flows have kept recent nights milder than seasonal norms. Model spread arises from uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and any light showers, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression. This genuine variability explains the clustered market probabilities around 11–13°C rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the precise minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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