Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
BARU
$14,394 Vol.
BARU
$14,394 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
44%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
BARU
$14,394 Vol.
BARU
$14,394 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$535 Vol.
1%
24°C
$759 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,586 Vol.
6%
26°C
$1,987 Vol.
14%
27°C
$3,138 Vol.
44%
28°C
$2,231 Vol.
26%
29°C
$1,602 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,196 Vol.
3%
31°C
$622 Vol.
1%
32°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$14,394Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,394Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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