Cooler-than-typical late-August conditions, driven by northerly flow and persistent cloud cover with scattered showers, have positioned 15 °C as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment for Helsinki’s daily maximum on August 23. Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model guidance consistently indicate afternoon peaks near 15–16 °C under moderate winds that limit surface heating, aligning with the seasonal decline from mid-month highs and placing this value well within the narrow uncertainty range of official observations. Recent model updates show minimal warming potential from transient breaks in cloud or wind shifts, keeping probabilities for 17 °C or higher below 2 % while rendering sub-14 °C scenarios unlikely given current thermal profiles. Resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from FMI stations by day’s end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 23?
15°C 95%
16°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
95%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 95%
16°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
95%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooler-than-typical late-August conditions, driven by northerly flow and persistent cloud cover with scattered showers, have positioned 15 °C as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment for Helsinki’s daily maximum on August 23. Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model guidance consistently indicate afternoon peaks near 15–16 °C under moderate winds that limit surface heating, aligning with the seasonal decline from mid-month highs and placing this value well within the narrow uncertainty range of official observations. Recent model updates show minimal warming potential from transient breaks in cloud or wind shifts, keeping probabilities for 17 °C or higher below 2 % while rendering sub-14 °C scenarios unlikely given current thermal profiles. Resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from FMI stations by day’s end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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