Official National Weather Service forecasts project a Chicago high near 73°F on August 23 under northwest flow and sunny-to-partly cloudy skies, driving the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. Cool air advection from recent high pressure, combined with light winds and Lake Michigan's moderating influence, has suppressed temperatures below the ~82°F climatological average. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal heating from reduced insolation under variable cloud cover and no significant warm-air return, creating uncertainty between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins depending on exact wind shifts or afternoon clearing. Traders weigh these mesoscale factors against historical analogs showing similar post-frontal cooling episodes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
74-75°F 48%
76-77°F 48%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 2%
BARU
$15,354 Vol.
BARU
$15,354 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
48%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 48%
76-77°F 48%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 2%
BARU
$15,354 Vol.
BARU
$15,354 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$826 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$828 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,163 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,155 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,974 Vol.
48%
76-77°F
$1,939 Vol.
48%
78-79°F
$1,922 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$1,011 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$673 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a Chicago high near 73°F on August 23 under northwest flow and sunny-to-partly cloudy skies, driving the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. Cool air advection from recent high pressure, combined with light winds and Lake Michigan's moderating influence, has suppressed temperatures below the ~82°F climatological average. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal heating from reduced insolation under variable cloud cover and no significant warm-air return, creating uncertainty between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins depending on exact wind shifts or afternoon clearing. Traders weigh these mesoscale factors against historical analogs showing similar post-frontal cooling episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$15,354Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a Chicago high near 73°F on August 23 under northwest flow and sunny-to-partly cloudy skies, driving the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. Cool air advection from recent high pressure, combined with light winds and Lake Michigan's moderating influence, has suppressed temperatures below the ~82°F climatological average. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal heating from reduced insolation under variable cloud cover and no significant warm-air return, creating uncertainty between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins depending on exact wind shifts or afternoon clearing. Traders weigh these mesoscale factors against historical analogs showing similar post-frontal cooling episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,354Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project a Chicago high near 73°F on August 23 under northwest flow and sunny-to-partly cloudy skies, driving the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. Cool air advection from recent high pressure, combined with light winds and Lake Michigan's moderating influence, has suppressed temperatures below the ~82°F climatological average. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal heating from reduced insolation under variable cloud cover and no significant warm-air return, creating uncertainty between the 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins depending on exact wind shifts or afternoon clearing. Traders weigh these mesoscale factors against historical analogs showing similar post-frontal cooling episodes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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