Official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$11,715 Vol.
$11,715 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$11,715 Vol.
$11,715 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services point to a maximum of 22–23°C in São Paulo today under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a reinforcing cold air mass limiting daytime warming and producing light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines near 22°C. A late surge in insolation or localized urban heat effects could push readings marginally higher, while faster cloud build-up or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the high below 24°C; the next official bulletin and station readings will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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