NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
$18,730 Vol.
$18,730 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 30%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
$18,730 Vol.
$18,730 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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