Meteorological model consensus supports a Madrid high of 33–34°C on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC aligns with this narrow range, reflecting minimal day-to-day variability and alignment with climatological averages near 32°C. Recent observations show no significant heat advection or cloud cover changes that would push extremes higher or lower, keeping 34°C (57.5%) and 33°C (38.0%) as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note the potential for minor model adjustments in final hourly data, but current conditions favor this tight band over outliers like 32°C or 35°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
34°C 61%
33°C 36%
32°C 4%
35°C 3%
BARU
$19,518 Vol.
BARU
$19,518 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
36%
34°C
61%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 61%
33°C 36%
32°C 4%
35°C 3%
BARU
$19,518 Vol.
BARU
$19,518 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$1,684 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,044 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,853 Vol.
4%
33°C
$3,148 Vol.
36%
34°C
$5,998 Vol.
61%
35°C
$2,527 Vol.
3%
36°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological model consensus supports a Madrid high of 33–34°C on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC aligns with this narrow range, reflecting minimal day-to-day variability and alignment with climatological averages near 32°C. Recent observations show no significant heat advection or cloud cover changes that would push extremes higher or lower, keeping 34°C (57.5%) and 33°C (38.0%) as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note the potential for minor model adjustments in final hourly data, but current conditions favor this tight band over outliers like 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$19,518Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological model consensus supports a Madrid high of 33–34°C on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC aligns with this narrow range, reflecting minimal day-to-day variability and alignment with climatological averages near 32°C. Recent observations show no significant heat advection or cloud cover changes that would push extremes higher or lower, keeping 34°C (57.5%) and 33°C (38.0%) as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note the potential for minor model adjustments in final hourly data, but current conditions favor this tight band over outliers like 32°C or 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,518Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological model consensus supports a Madrid high of 33–34°C on August 23 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and BBC aligns with this narrow range, reflecting minimal day-to-day variability and alignment with climatological averages near 32°C. Recent observations show no significant heat advection or cloud cover changes that would push extremes higher or lower, keeping 34°C (57.5%) and 33°C (38.0%) as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note the potential for minor model adjustments in final hourly data, but current conditions favor this tight band over outliers like 32°C or 35°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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