Recent forecast model runs from agencies including AEMET and European ensembles point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature near the 18°C climatological average for late August. A cooling trend following mid-month peaks around 38°C highs has lowered recent overnight readings to 19–21°C, with current guidance favoring 17–19°C lows on the 24th depending on cloud timing and humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 18°C or below, aligns with this model spread and historical variability at Madrid's 650 m elevation, where clear nights enhance cooling while increased winds or moisture can moderate it. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
22°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
45%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
22°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$55 Vol.
8%
22°C
$23 Vol.
8%
23°C
$25 Vol.
2%
24°C
$135 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$11 Vol.
2%
27°C
$70 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including AEMET and European ensembles point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature near the 18°C climatological average for late August. A cooling trend following mid-month peaks around 38°C highs has lowered recent overnight readings to 19–21°C, with current guidance favoring 17–19°C lows on the 24th depending on cloud timing and humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 18°C or below, aligns with this model spread and historical variability at Madrid's 650 m elevation, where clear nights enhance cooling while increased winds or moisture can moderate it. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$459Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including AEMET and European ensembles point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature near the 18°C climatological average for late August. A cooling trend following mid-month peaks around 38°C highs has lowered recent overnight readings to 19–21°C, with current guidance favoring 17–19°C lows on the 24th depending on cloud timing and humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 18°C or below, aligns with this model spread and historical variability at Madrid's 650 m elevation, where clear nights enhance cooling while increased winds or moisture can moderate it. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$459Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including AEMET and European ensembles point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature near the 18°C climatological average for late August. A cooling trend following mid-month peaks around 38°C highs has lowered recent overnight readings to 19–21°C, with current guidance favoring 17–19°C lows on the 24th depending on cloud timing and humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 18°C or below, aligns with this model spread and historical variability at Madrid's 650 m elevation, where clear nights enhance cooling while increased winds or moisture can moderate it. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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