Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 24 likely falling between 6–8°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds near 4–8 m/s, and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits mixing. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 3–4°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 4–8°C, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (average lows near 7–8°C) provides context, while the absence of strong cold-air advection keeps probabilities for sub-4°C outcomes low. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 34%
4°C 32%
3°C 29%
-2°C or below
14%
-1°C
19%
0°C
25%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
32%
5°C
24%
6°C
34%
7°C
2%
8°C or higher
68%
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 34%
4°C 32%
3°C 29%
-2°C or below
14%
-1°C
19%
0°C
25%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
32%
5°C
24%
6°C
34%
7°C
2%
8°C or higher
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 24 likely falling between 6–8°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds near 4–8 m/s, and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits mixing. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 3–4°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 4–8°C, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (average lows near 7–8°C) provides context, while the absence of strong cold-air advection keeps probabilities for sub-4°C outcomes low. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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