Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 50%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
25%
13°C
50%
14°C
22%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 25%
14°C 22%
15°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$228 Vol.
1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
4%
12°C
$567 Vol.
25%
13°C
$483 Vol.
50%
14°C
$971 Vol.
22%
15°C
$928 Vol.
5%
16°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,330Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,330Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global ensembles and regional models, including light northeasterly flow under stable high pressure, position a 12–13°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 24. Late-winter climatology at 34.6°S yields typical August highs of 15–17°C, yet persistent cloud cover and onshore advection currently limit insolation and diurnal warming, aligning observed recent peaks near 11–14°C. Model consensus narrows uncertainty around the 12–13°C bin, with only modest upside potential from unexpected clearing. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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