Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate typical early-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This pattern supports a daily maximum near the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the consensus outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 75-80°F and minimal risk of either strong onshore cooling or offshore warming. No significant synoptic shifts, such as high-pressure building or Santa Ana flow, appear in the latest runs through September 4, keeping probabilities for extremes below 5%. Updated model guidance and NWS zone forecasts issued over the next 24 hours will determine whether any subtle adjustments alter the current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
65°F or below
$153 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$244 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$194 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$156 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$827 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$3,680 Vol.
62%
78-79°F
$1,476 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$746 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$160 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate typical early-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This pattern supports a daily maximum near the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the consensus outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 75-80°F and minimal risk of either strong onshore cooling or offshore warming. No significant synoptic shifts, such as high-pressure building or Santa Ana flow, appear in the latest runs through September 4, keeping probabilities for extremes below 5%. Updated model guidance and NWS zone forecasts issued over the next 24 hours will determine whether any subtle adjustments alter the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,798Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate typical early-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This pattern supports a daily maximum near the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the consensus outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 75-80°F and minimal risk of either strong onshore cooling or offshore warming. No significant synoptic shifts, such as high-pressure building or Santa Ana flow, appear in the latest runs through September 4, keeping probabilities for extremes below 5%. Updated model guidance and NWS zone forecasts issued over the next 24 hours will determine whether any subtle adjustments alter the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,798Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate typical early-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This pattern supports a daily maximum near the 1991-2020 climatological average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the consensus outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 75-80°F and minimal risk of either strong onshore cooling or offshore warming. No significant synoptic shifts, such as high-pressure building or Santa Ana flow, appear in the latest runs through September 4, keeping probabilities for extremes below 5%. Updated model guidance and NWS zone forecasts issued over the next 24 hours will determine whether any subtle adjustments alter the current market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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