Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston points to sunny conditions and a high near 100°F on August 24, supported by persistent high pressure and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins, as ensemble model runs show modest spread from potential sea-breeze moderation or thin high clouds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°F from inland maxima. August climatology places normal highs near 94–95°F, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave amplification. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast against typical verification adjustments for urban heat-island effects and timing of any convective initiation, keeping higher bins at low implied odds ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$234 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$570 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$492 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$522 Vol.
57%
100-101°F
$459 Vol.
27%
102-103°F
$373 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$183 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston points to sunny conditions and a high near 100°F on August 24, supported by persistent high pressure and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins, as ensemble model runs show modest spread from potential sea-breeze moderation or thin high clouds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°F from inland maxima. August climatology places normal highs near 94–95°F, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave amplification. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast against typical verification adjustments for urban heat-island effects and timing of any convective initiation, keeping higher bins at low implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston points to sunny conditions and a high near 100°F on August 24, supported by persistent high pressure and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins, as ensemble model runs show modest spread from potential sea-breeze moderation or thin high clouds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°F from inland maxima. August climatology places normal highs near 94–95°F, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave amplification. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast against typical verification adjustments for urban heat-island effects and timing of any convective initiation, keeping higher bins at low implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston points to sunny conditions and a high near 100°F on August 24, supported by persistent high pressure and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins, as ensemble model runs show modest spread from potential sea-breeze moderation or thin high clouds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°F from inland maxima. August climatology places normal highs near 94–95°F, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave amplification. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast against typical verification adjustments for urban heat-island effects and timing of any convective initiation, keeping higher bins at low implied odds ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan