Trader sentiment for the third-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects high uncertainty, with "Other" and numerous mid-tier options each implying 50% odds amid a fragmented field. Mistral leads specific contenders at 21% on the strength of its open-source large language model releases and agent tooling that have demonstrated competitive reasoning and tool-use benchmarks. Anthropic, OpenAI, and Z.ai sit near 10-11%, supported by established capabilities in multi-step planning yet tempered by questions over deployment scale and integration speed. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others highlight slower visible progress on specialized agent frameworks relative to nimbler labs. Upcoming model updates and capability demos over the next six weeks remain the main swing factors in this closely contested market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTroisième meilleur laboratoire d'agents IA fin septembre ?
Troisième meilleur laboratoire d'agents IA fin septembre ?
Anthropic 12%
Z.ai 12%
OpenAI 11%
Baidu 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
12%
Z.ai
12%
OpenAI
11%
Baidu
11%
Mistral
10%
Microsoft
10%
ByteDance
9%
Meta
8%
8%
Meituan
8%
Amazon
7%
Alibaba
5%
Nvidia
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Xiaomi
4%
MiniMax
4%
Moonshot
8%
DeepSeek
12%
Anthropic 12%
Z.ai 12%
OpenAI 11%
Baidu 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
$20 Vol.
12%
Z.ai
$20 Vol.
12%
OpenAI
$20 Vol.
11%
Baidu
$20 Vol.
11%
Mistral
$20 Vol.
10%
Microsoft
$20 Vol.
10%
ByteDance
$20 Vol.
9%
Meta
$20 Vol.
8%
$20 Vol.
8%
Meituan
$20 Vol.
8%
Amazon
$26 Vol.
7%
Alibaba
$34 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$20 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$20 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$25 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$20 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$59 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$59 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the third-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects high uncertainty, with "Other" and numerous mid-tier options each implying 50% odds amid a fragmented field. Mistral leads specific contenders at 21% on the strength of its open-source large language model releases and agent tooling that have demonstrated competitive reasoning and tool-use benchmarks. Anthropic, OpenAI, and Z.ai sit near 10-11%, supported by established capabilities in multi-step planning yet tempered by questions over deployment scale and integration speed. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others highlight slower visible progress on specialized agent frameworks relative to nimbler labs. Upcoming model updates and capability demos over the next six weeks remain the main swing factors in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$465Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the third-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects high uncertainty, with "Other" and numerous mid-tier options each implying 50% odds amid a fragmented field. Mistral leads specific contenders at 21% on the strength of its open-source large language model releases and agent tooling that have demonstrated competitive reasoning and tool-use benchmarks. Anthropic, OpenAI, and Z.ai sit near 10-11%, supported by established capabilities in multi-step planning yet tempered by questions over deployment scale and integration speed. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others highlight slower visible progress on specialized agent frameworks relative to nimbler labs. Upcoming model updates and capability demos over the next six weeks remain the main swing factors in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$465Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the third-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects high uncertainty, with "Other" and numerous mid-tier options each implying 50% odds amid a fragmented field. Mistral leads specific contenders at 21% on the strength of its open-source large language model releases and agent tooling that have demonstrated competitive reasoning and tool-use benchmarks. Anthropic, OpenAI, and Z.ai sit near 10-11%, supported by established capabilities in multi-step planning yet tempered by questions over deployment scale and integration speed. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others highlight slower visible progress on specialized agent frameworks relative to nimbler labs. Upcoming model updates and capability demos over the next six weeks remain the main swing factors in this closely contested market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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