In this closely matched Polymarket on the second-best AI agent lab by end of September, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented competitive landscape where no single player has pulled ahead on autonomous agent capabilities. Implied probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier labs alongside OpenAI at 42% and xAI at 35% underscore rapid iteration in multi-step task execution, tool integration, and benchmark performance on agent evaluations. Recent model releases emphasizing improved planning and reliability from labs like Anthropic and DeepSeek have kept positioning fluid, while developer ecosystem growth and early enterprise adoption patterns remain key swing factors ahead of the September resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpenAI 48%
Z.ai 27%
SpaceXAI 22%
Anthropic 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
OpenAI
48%
Z.ai
27%
SpaceXAI
25%
Anthropic
31%
Moonshot
16%
Amazon
13%
DeepSeek
12%
Alibaba
9%
Meta
7%
Mistral
6%
Xiaomi
5%
Microsoft
4%
MiniMax
4%
Nvidia
4%
Baidu
4%
Meituan
4%
4%
ByteDance
3%
OpenAI 48%
Z.ai 27%
SpaceXAI 22%
Anthropic 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
OpenAI
$115 Vol.
48%
Z.ai
$75 Vol.
27%
SpaceXAI
$95 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$81 Vol.
31%
Moonshot
$36 Vol.
16%
Amazon
$36 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$36 Vol.
12%
Alibaba
$36 Vol.
9%
Meta
$95 Vol.
7%
Mistral
$262 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$41 Vol.
5%
Microsoft
$85 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$36 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$60 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$36 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$36 Vol.
4%
$81 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$36 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".In this closely matched Polymarket on the second-best AI agent lab by end of September, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented competitive landscape where no single player has pulled ahead on autonomous agent capabilities. Implied probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier labs alongside OpenAI at 42% and xAI at 35% underscore rapid iteration in multi-step task execution, tool integration, and benchmark performance on agent evaluations. Recent model releases emphasizing improved planning and reliability from labs like Anthropic and DeepSeek have kept positioning fluid, while developer ecosystem growth and early enterprise adoption patterns remain key swing factors ahead of the September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,278Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".In this closely matched Polymarket on the second-best AI agent lab by end of September, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented competitive landscape where no single player has pulled ahead on autonomous agent capabilities. Implied probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier labs alongside OpenAI at 42% and xAI at 35% underscore rapid iteration in multi-step task execution, tool integration, and benchmark performance on agent evaluations. Recent model releases emphasizing improved planning and reliability from labs like Anthropic and DeepSeek have kept positioning fluid, while developer ecosystem growth and early enterprise adoption patterns remain key swing factors ahead of the September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,278Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In this closely matched Polymarket on the second-best AI agent lab by end of September, trader sentiment reflects a fragmented competitive landscape where no single player has pulled ahead on autonomous agent capabilities. Implied probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier labs alongside OpenAI at 42% and xAI at 35% underscore rapid iteration in multi-step task execution, tool integration, and benchmark performance on agent evaluations. Recent model releases emphasizing improved planning and reliability from labs like Anthropic and DeepSeek have kept positioning fluid, while developer ecosystem growth and early enterprise adoption patterns remain key swing factors ahead of the September resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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