Recent leaderboard shifts on Artificial Analysis and community arenas have kept Alibaba’s HappyHorse/ATH models and MiniMax Hailuo variants narrowly ahead in blind preference tests for motion realism, temporal consistency, and joint audio-video output, fueling their slight market edge. ByteDance Seedance, Kling v3, and Google Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni Flash remain close contenders through superior prompt adherence or production workflows, while OpenAI Sora 2 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail on raw quality metrics despite strong editing tools. With resolution deadlines weeks away and frequent model updates, traders weigh API availability, multilingual lip-sync, and benchmark volatility as the decisive swing factors in this fragmented field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLuma AI 51%
MiniMax 50%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 50%
Kandinsky 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Luma AI
51%
MiniMax
50%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
50%
Kandinsky
49%
Genmo AI
49%
Meta
49%
Pixverse
49%
49%
KlingAI
48%
ByteDance
48%
Tencent
46%
Pika
46%
SpaceXAI
46%
Lightricks
44%
Runway
44%
OpenAI
43%
Pruna
43%
Luma AI 51%
MiniMax 50%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 50%
Kandinsky 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Luma AI
$0 Vol.
51%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
50%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$0 Vol.
50%
Kandinsky
$0 Vol.
49%
Genmo AI
$0 Vol.
49%
Meta
$0 Vol.
49%
Pixverse
$0 Vol.
49%
$0 Vol.
49%
KlingAI
$0 Vol.
48%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
48%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
46%
Pika
$0 Vol.
46%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
46%
Lightricks
$0 Vol.
44%
Runway
$0 Vol.
44%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
43%
Pruna
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent leaderboard shifts on Artificial Analysis and community arenas have kept Alibaba’s HappyHorse/ATH models and MiniMax Hailuo variants narrowly ahead in blind preference tests for motion realism, temporal consistency, and joint audio-video output, fueling their slight market edge. ByteDance Seedance, Kling v3, and Google Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni Flash remain close contenders through superior prompt adherence or production workflows, while OpenAI Sora 2 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail on raw quality metrics despite strong editing tools. With resolution deadlines weeks away and frequent model updates, traders weigh API availability, multilingual lip-sync, and benchmark volatility as the decisive swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent leaderboard shifts on Artificial Analysis and community arenas have kept Alibaba’s HappyHorse/ATH models and MiniMax Hailuo variants narrowly ahead in blind preference tests for motion realism, temporal consistency, and joint audio-video output, fueling their slight market edge. ByteDance Seedance, Kling v3, and Google Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni Flash remain close contenders through superior prompt adherence or production workflows, while OpenAI Sora 2 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail on raw quality metrics despite strong editing tools. With resolution deadlines weeks away and frequent model updates, traders weigh API availability, multilingual lip-sync, and benchmark volatility as the decisive swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaderboard shifts on Artificial Analysis and community arenas have kept Alibaba’s HappyHorse/ATH models and MiniMax Hailuo variants narrowly ahead in blind preference tests for motion realism, temporal consistency, and joint audio-video output, fueling their slight market edge. ByteDance Seedance, Kling v3, and Google Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni Flash remain close contenders through superior prompt adherence or production workflows, while OpenAI Sora 2 and Runway Gen-4.5 trail on raw quality metrics despite strong editing tools. With resolution deadlines weeks away and frequent model updates, traders weigh API availability, multilingual lip-sync, and benchmark volatility as the decisive swing factors in this fragmented field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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