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icon for Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

icon for Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Anthropic 62%

Meituan 20.5%

Xiaomi 15.2%

Microsoft 13.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Anthropic 62%

Meituan 20.5%

Xiaomi 15.2%

Microsoft 13.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$77 Vol.

57%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$110 Vol.

21%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$112 Vol.

15%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$108 Vol.

14%

icon for Meta

Meta

$39 Vol.

12%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$39 Vol.

11%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$39 Vol.

11%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$44 Vol.

11%

icon for Google

Google

$39 Vol.

9%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$39 Vol.

8%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$39 Vol.

7%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$77 Vol.

5%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$93 Vol.

4%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$110 Vol.

4%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$47 Vol.

4%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$112 Vol.

3%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$106 Vol.

10%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$110 Vol.

9%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$54 Vol.

1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$110 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$106 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,608
Date de fin
31 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,608
Date de fin
31 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthropic » à 56%, suivi de « Meituan » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est « Anthropic » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Meituan » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.