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icon for Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

icon for Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Nvidia 51%

SpaceXAI 47%

DeepSeek 47%

Moonshot 46%

Polymarket
NEW

Nvidia 51%

SpaceXAI 47%

DeepSeek 47%

Moonshot 46%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$58 Vol.

51%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$70 Vol.

47%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$58 Vol.

47%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$58 Vol.

46%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$58 Vol.

46%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$58 Vol.

46%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$58 Vol.

46%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$156 Vol.

61%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$58 Vol.

41%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$70 Vol.

28%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$80 Vol.

26%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$60 Vol.

26%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$58 Vol.

25%

icon for Google

Google

$70 Vol.

23%

icon for Meta

Meta

$48 Vol.

14%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$58 Vol.

14%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$48 Vol.

14%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$56 Vol.

25%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$60 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent September 2026 model releases have fragmented the AI agent landscape, with no single leader ahead of the November deadline. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 lead long-horizon autonomy and Terminal-Bench scores, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra excels on ARC-AGI, ExploitBench, and computer-use tasks; its new Agents API further boosts practical deployment via managed multi-agent workflows and sandboxes. Open-weight contenders from Z.ai (GLM), DeepSeek, and Alibaba (Qwen) post competitive agentic benchmarks at lower cost, sustaining trader parity. Safety coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds regulatory uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely matched across labs.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$843
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent September 2026 model releases have fragmented the AI agent landscape, with no single leader ahead of the November deadline. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 lead long-horizon autonomy and Terminal-Bench scores, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra excels on ARC-AGI, ExploitBench, and computer-use tasks; its new Agents API further boosts practical deployment via managed multi-agent workflows and sandboxes. Open-weight contenders from Z.ai (GLM), DeepSeek, and Alibaba (Qwen) post competitive agentic benchmarks at lower cost, sustaining trader parity. Safety coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds regulatory uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely matched across labs.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$843
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 61%, followed by "Alibaba" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?" is "Anthropic" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alibaba" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.