Grok predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$79.7K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

77%

45%+

$79.7K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

$10 Vol.

$619 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

53%

September 18

$10 Vol.

$619 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$15.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

92%

35%+

$15.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·League Of Legends

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

$79.4K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$79.4K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

$10.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

64%

December 31

$10.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

$426 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

21%

September 15

$426 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

$52 Vol.

$427 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

56%

1450+

$52 Vol.

$427 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

$1M Vol.

$55.5K today

$903K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$55.5K today

$903K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Culture·Movies

"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$6.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

82%

60+

$6.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sports·Games

FK Auda Riga vs. FK Grobina - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

68%

Over

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Sports·Games

FK Auda Riga vs. FK Grobina

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

47%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?

$1.7K Vol.

$150 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

$1.7K Vol.

$150 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Earnings·KR

Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?

$181 Vol.

$618 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

86%

$181 Vol.

$618 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Finance

Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?

$36.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

81%

↑$7.5B

$36.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance

Will Glean's valuation hit __ by September 30?

$4.4K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

66%

↓$7B

$4.4K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Sports·Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

73%

Over

$0 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Sports·Games

FK Akron Tolyatti vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$692 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

51%

Over

$0 Vol.

$692 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Culture·Joe Rogan

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 7)

$812 Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

100%

Right

$812 Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: regain vs NuTorious (BO3) - NSTLGA League Group Stage

$6 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

77%

regain

$6 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Sports·Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen - Total Corners

$0 Vol.

$174 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

51%

Over

$0 Vol.

$174 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Grok.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Grok that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Grok predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Grok shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Grok prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Grok prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Grok predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Grok prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Grok markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Grok prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Grok predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Grok odds?

Can I track Grok predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Grok markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Grok prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Grok markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Grok prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Grok predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Grok odds?

Can I track Grok predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Grok markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Grok predictions & odds