GPT 5 predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$364K Vol.

$35.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

December 31, 2026

$364K Vol.

$35.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

$1 Vol.

$553 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

73%

December 31

$1 Vol.

$553 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$26.9K Vol.

$437 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

64%

$26.9K Vol.

$437 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

$15.6K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

90%

November 30

$15.6K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

GPT-7 released by...?

$4.7K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

76%

December 31, 2027

$4.7K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?

$16.8K Vol.

$569 Liq.

Ends in 26 days

78%

September 30

$16.8K Vol.

$569 Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

$4.9K Vol.

$993 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

76%

November 30

$4.9K Vol.

$993 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

$5.1K Vol.

$671 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

88%

November 30

$5.1K Vol.

$671 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Crypto·Pre Market

Will GTE launch a token by ___?

$14.8K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

37%

December 31, 2027

$14.8K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$47.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

40%+

$47.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

GV CD San José vs. CA Nacional Potosí - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$270 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$270 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Sports·Games

ITF Taipei: Reina Goto vs Anri Nagata

$362 Vol.

$142K Liq.

100%

Reina Goto

$362 Vol.

$142K Liq.

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by....?

$1.5K Vol.

$939 Liq.

Ends in 26 days

65%

September 30

$1.5K Vol.

$939 Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

$4.8K Vol.

$970 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

67%

November 30

$4.8K Vol.

$970 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

$1M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

63%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sports·Games

Göztepe SK vs. Gaziantep FK - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

37%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

$60.0K Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

85%

No release by September 30

$60.0K Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

$13.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

36%

September 30

$13.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Sports·Games

GV CD San José vs. CA Nacional Potosí

$0 Vol.

$411 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

35%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$411 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

$10.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

64%

December 31

$10.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to October 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for GPT 5 shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the GPT 5 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the GPT 5 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

GPT 5 predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of GPT 5 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do GPT 5 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top GPT 5 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for GPT 5 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s GPT 5 odds?

Can I track GPT 5 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with GPT 5 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of GPT 5 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do GPT 5 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top GPT 5 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for GPT 5 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s GPT 5 odds?

Can I track GPT 5 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with GPT 5 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

GPT 5 predictions & odds