Recent model releases have intensified competition for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, where OpenAI currently leads via GPT-6 Astra, followed closely by Anthropic's Claude variants. Alibaba's Qwen3.8-max and Moonshot's Kimi K3-max sit in strong contention with scores above 1670, while Meta, Tencent, and Z.ai trail within 50-100 points amid rapid iterations in agentic coding and UI-to-code tasks. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the next 10 weeks, as incremental gains in benchmarks like multi-step reasoning and tool use could reorder labs before November resolution. Upcoming releases or fine-tunes from these contenders represent the main swing factors in this closely matched field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMeta 32%
DeepSeek 26%
Xiaomi 25%
Anthropic 23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
32%
DeepSeek
26%
Xiaomi
25%
Anthropic
23%
Poolside
23%
Alibaba
22%
MiniMax
22%
OpenAI
19%
Tencent
19%
Thinky
18%
Moonshot
15%
SpaceXAI
14%
ByteDance
14%
13%
Mistral
23%
Z.ai
14%
Meta 32%
DeepSeek 26%
Xiaomi 25%
Anthropic 23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$37 Vol.
32%
DeepSeek
$38 Vol.
26%
Xiaomi
$38 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$38 Vol.
23%
Poolside
$38 Vol.
23%
Alibaba
$38 Vol.
22%
MiniMax
$38 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$38 Vol.
19%
Tencent
$38 Vol.
19%
Thinky
$38 Vol.
18%
Moonshot
$38 Vol.
15%
SpaceXAI
$38 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$38 Vol.
14%
$51 Vol.
13%
Mistral
$50 Vol.
23%
Z.ai
$38 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, where OpenAI currently leads via GPT-6 Astra, followed closely by Anthropic's Claude variants. Alibaba's Qwen3.8-max and Moonshot's Kimi K3-max sit in strong contention with scores above 1670, while Meta, Tencent, and Z.ai trail within 50-100 points amid rapid iterations in agentic coding and UI-to-code tasks. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the next 10 weeks, as incremental gains in benchmarks like multi-step reasoning and tool use could reorder labs before November resolution. Upcoming releases or fine-tunes from these contenders represent the main swing factors in this closely matched field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$628End Date
Dec 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, where OpenAI currently leads via GPT-6 Astra, followed closely by Anthropic's Claude variants. Alibaba's Qwen3.8-max and Moonshot's Kimi K3-max sit in strong contention with scores above 1670, while Meta, Tencent, and Z.ai trail within 50-100 points amid rapid iterations in agentic coding and UI-to-code tasks. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the next 10 weeks, as incremental gains in benchmarks like multi-step reasoning and tool use could reorder labs before November resolution. Upcoming releases or fine-tunes from these contenders represent the main swing factors in this closely matched field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$628End Date
Dec 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases have intensified competition for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, where OpenAI currently leads via GPT-6 Astra, followed closely by Anthropic's Claude variants. Alibaba's Qwen3.8-max and Moonshot's Kimi K3-max sit in strong contention with scores above 1670, while Meta, Tencent, and Z.ai trail within 50-100 points amid rapid iterations in agentic coding and UI-to-code tasks. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the next 10 weeks, as incremental gains in benchmarks like multi-step reasoning and tool use could reorder labs before November resolution. Upcoming releases or fine-tunes from these contenders represent the main swing factors in this closely matched field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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